IMPORTANT NOTE - The following is an archived page on hybridwalnut.com, which is no longer marketing trees for American Forestry Technology, AFT, SECHE-O, etc. However, hybridwalnut.com continues to offer the genetically superior timber trees (including the Purdue-source grafted black walnut trees and their superior seedlings) and other quality landscape trees, which are now available for purchase online. We will be happy to send you printed material for our online products if you submit this form. The hybridwalnut.com archived pages contain probably the most complete collection available of the technical aspects of successfully growing veneer grade timber, collected by yours truly over the course of many years. These technical guidelines remains relatively constant, but the marketing information on the archived pages is out-of-date. Therefore, if you find this page to be of interest, I suggest you print it out or something because I do not intend to keep it live forever...

Best regards,
John Neidigh
Owner, hybridwalnut.com


Financial Overview

At the retail level, according to an informal survey, black walnut generally sells for about two to three times the price of oak and maple.

At the wholesale level, it's not unusual for large black walnut trees that are relatively free of defects to fetch $20,000 to $35,000 per tree. In 1985, a single black walnut log sold for $90,000. However, very few trees like these remain, and as more are harvested, the few remaining will all but disappear.

Dwindling supplies and growing demand have caused the prices of prime veneer-grade black walnut to climb 1400 percent in 35 years (including inflation). At the same time the overall quality has declined, and, in fact, veneer-slicing in today's mills is mostly a salvage operation. As a consequence, the prices for veneer-grade walnut range from about $3.00 a board foot on up to about $15.00 for the very best specimens, with most purchases falling in the $3.00 to $5.00 range.

In the future, plantation-grown black walnut
will supply the bulk of veneer-grade black walnut wood.

Each year thousands of run-of-the-nursery black walnut seedlings are planted in hopes of reaping great profits down the road. However, on the average, it will take from 50 to 70 years for these trees to reach harvestable size, and even then, only about one in ten will be veneer-grade. Conversely, there is little doubt that plantations of the Successor GST black walnut cultivars are the best way to meet future demand for veneer-grade black walnut.

According to one buyer, the genetically superior trees, which should fall in the $6.00 to $8.00 per board foot range, should be worth between about $5,000 and $10,000 in 30 to 35 years. However, it is possible, under optimal conditions, that some of the trees could be ready for harvest in about 25 years.

Table 1 illustrates the tremendous profit potential in growing the Successor GST genetically superior black walnut trees.

Table I. ACCUMULATED NET CASH FLOW FROM ONE ACRE PLANTATION

Year

Annual Cost of One Acre

Accum-
ulated Cost of One Acre

Black Walnut Nut Crop (lbs.)
Black Walnut Nut Income
Orna-
mental Tree Crop

Orna-
mental Tree Income

Successor GST Income

Annual Cash Flow

Accumulated Cash Flow

1
$5,575
$5,575





($5,575)
($5,575)
2
371
5,946





(371)
(5,946)
3
382
6,328





(382)
(6,328)
4
393
6,721





(393)
(6,721)
5
405
7,126
280
$103
56
$1,960

1,658
(5,064)
6
417
7,544
411
151
56
2,240

1,973
(3,090)
7
430
7,973
544
200
56
2,520

2,290
(800)
8
443
8,416
675
248
56
2,800

2,605
1,805
9
456
8,872
938
344



(112)
1,693
10
470
9,342
1,330
488



18
1,711
11
484
9,826
1,584
581



98
1,809
12
498
10,324
2,096
769



271
2,080
13
513
10,837
2,730
1,002



489
2,568
14
529
11,366
3,354
1,231



702
3,271
15
545
11,911
3,968
1,456



912
4,182
16
561
12,471
5,080
1,864



1,303
5,486
17
578
13,049
5,670
2,081



1,503
6,989
18
595
13,644
6,250
2,294



1,699
8,688
19
613
14,257
6,820
2,503



1,890
10,578
20
631
14,888
7,380
2,708



2,077
12,655
21
650
15,539
7,808
2,866



2,215
14,870
22
670
16,208
7,920
2,907



2,237
17,107
23
690
16,898
8,092
2,970



2,280
19,387
24
710
17,609
8,260
3,031



2,321
21,708
25
732
18,340
8,307
3,049



2,317
24,025
26
754
19,094
8,424
3,092



2,338
26,363
27
776
19,870
8,468
3,108



2,331
28,694
28
800
20,670
8,510
3,123



2,324
31,018
29
824
21,494
8,400
3,083



2,259
33,277
30
848
22,342
8,400
3,083



2,234
35,511
31
874
23,216
8,400
3,083



2,209
37,720
32
900
24,116
8,400
3,083



2,183
39,903
33
927
25,043
8,400
3,083



2,156
42,059
34
955
25,998
8,400
3,083



2,128
44,187
35
983
26,981
8,400
3,083


1,064,000
1,066,099
1,110,286
TOTAL 26,981
173,699 63,748 224 9,520 1,064,000
$1,110,286








ROI = 4,115%

1. Costs are $3,395 for one acre of grafts + shelters


210 for stakes


490 for planting


1,120 for 280 ornamentals


100 for inputs (herbicide, lime, fertilizer, etc.) per year


100 for land per year


160 for maintenance (pruning, herbicide, mulch, etc.) per year


5,575 TOTAL


All of which are compounded at 3% per annum.
2. Nuts are sold for $.367 per pound. Survival rate for all trees is compounded at 80%. Ornamentals are sold for $35 each in 5th year, $40 each in 6th year, $45 each in 7th year, and $50 each in 8th year. Black walnut grafted trees are sold for $10,000 each less $500 for processing.
3. ROI (Return On Investment) = 4,115 percent!

NOTE - You are welcome to download {in either STUFFIT format for Macintosh (78 K) or ZipIt format for Windows/DOS (59 K) machines} and use the Microsoft Excel worksheet I created to generate the data in Table 1.


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